WASHINGTON
― The Senate reached a deal Monday to fund the government and
potentially provide a path forward for a larger immigration agreement.
Senators voted
81-18 for a three-week funding measure to reopen the government,
with many Democrats saying they felt encouraged by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s (R-Ky.) assurance over the weekend that the Senate would proceed to an immigration bill soon.
with many Democrats saying they felt encouraged by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s (R-Ky.) assurance over the weekend that the Senate would proceed to an immigration bill soon.
The spending deal also passed the House later on Monday, with 266 House lawmakers voting in favor.
Democrats
insisted they weren’t caving, even though they didn’t get what they
wanted: an immediate vote on protections for undocumented young people
often called Dreamers. But the deal gave them a way out of what could
have been a politically damaging shutdown. The promise of a vote on the
Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, although it could be
reneged on, is something Democrats didn’t have before. It’s the first
time Democrats received a firm deadline for a vote on an immigration
bill. And if McConnell doesn’t follow through, Democrats will be able to
use this promise to vote against the next spending bill and pin the
blame on Republicans.
If
McConnell keeps his word, he’ll put Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) in a
tough spot. There is a DACA bill currently working its way through the
House that would deliver on a number of conservative immigration
priorities, but it has no chance in the Senate.
If
senators are able to pass their own bill, while simultaneously
demonstrating that the House bill doesn’t have the votes to pass in
their chamber, Ryan will be left with the choice of either putting the
Senate bill up for a vote and angering conservatives or holding strong.
If he holds strong and doesn’t put the Senate-passed measure up for a
vote, he could risk another shutdown and strengthen the Democrats’
argument that another government closure is the fault of Republican
obstructionism.
“I
don’t think I can guarantee a House outcome but I think the stronger
the bill, in terms of the strength of the bipartisanship in the bill ―
the odds go up in the House,” Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) told HuffPost.
For
now, Democrats were happy to end a government shutdown, fund the
Children’s Health Insurance Program for six years, and functionally not
give up any of their leverage.
Although
CHIP had bipartisan support, Congress had failed to renew it. Part of
the reason is that there were disagreements over how to pay for it, with
some GOP proposals undercutting Obamacare in the process.
McConnell
reiterated Monday morning that he would move to vote on an immigration
bill if the two sides can’t agree to one by Feb. 8, as long as the
government is still fully open.
“It
would be my intention to take up legislation here in the Senate that
would address DACA, border security, and related issues as well as
disaster relief, defense funding, health care, and other important
matters,” McConnell said. “It would be my strong preference for the
Senate to consider a proposal that can actually be signed into law, a
bipartisan, bicameral group is already negotiating, and I look forward
to completion of its work.”
Some
Democrats took McConnell’s remarks as a step toward their preferred
solution. Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) said it represented “a path forward
that is enormously smoother.”
“I
believe Sen. McConnell will follow through,” independent Sen. Angus
King of Maine, who caucuses with the Democrats, told reporters Monday.
“I think he’s made his commitments so publicly and so unequivocally,
particularly this morning ― which was a stronger statement than last
night ― it’d be very difficult for him to try to find a way out of
meeting that commitment.”
Sen.
Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), however, was not convinced by McConnell’s
assurances that he would hold a vote on an immigration bill in the
future.
“I
don’t believe he made any commitment whatsoever and I think it would be
foolhardy to believe that he made a commitment,” Harris said.
The
federal government has been shut down since early Saturday because the
Senate didn’t approve a deal on the four-week spending bill needed to
keep it open. Forty-four Democrats and four Republicans voted against that bill,
with many saying they wouldn’t support anything that didn’t help the
700,000 undocumented young people President Donald Trump put at risk of
losing deportation protections when he ended DACA. Other lawmakers who voted “no” said short-term spending bills are a bad way to operate the government.
Immigrant
rights groups have been urging Democrats to demand Dreamer relief as
part of must-pass spending bills since Trump rescinded DACA. Their logic
― based on years of experience ― is that a standalone bill to help
Dreamers will languish if it’s not attached to another measure because
Republican leaders won’t give it a vote, even if it has the support to
pass.
McConnell’s
promise convinced some Democrats to switch their vote. But he wasn’t
able to make any guarantees about the House, as Ryan previously promised
the conservative Freedom Caucus he would not hold immigration votes
without support from a majority of the Republican conference.
Trump
could also throw the entire deal into disarray. He rejected an offer
from Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Friday to fund a
border wall ― something Democrats have said they would not accept ― in
exchange for Dreamer protections, according to Schumer. Since the
shutdown, White House officials have said they would not negotiate on
immigration issues.
In
a speech on the Senate floor announcing that his caucus would vote to
move forward, Schumer said he hadn’t spoken with Trump since their
Friday meeting at the White House ― before the government shut down.
“The great deal-making president sat on the sidelines,” he said.
Dreamer
activists called on Democrats earlier Monday to not settle for
McConnell’s promise to hold a vote. If they lose DACA ― as an estimated
122 Dreamers already are each day ― they will lose work permits and
could be deported.
“Promises
won’t protect anyone from deportation because delay means deportations
for us,” Greisa Martinez Rosas, advocacy director for the Dreamer-led
group United We Dream, said on a call with reporters ahead of the vote.
The
Democratic senators who voted against the measure were: Richard
Blumenthal (Conn.), Cory Booker (N.J.), Catherine Cortez Masto (Nev.),
Dianne Feinstein (Calif.), Kirsten Gillibrand (N.Y.), Kamala Harris
(Calif.), Mazie Hirono (Hawaii), Patrick Leahy (Vt.), Ed Markey (Mass.),
Robert Menendez (N.J.), Jeff Merkley (Ore.), Chris Murphy (Conn.),
Bernie Sanders (Vt.), Jon Tester (Mont.), Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) and
Ron Wyden (Ore.).
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